Good morning, and welcome to Tuesday, December 2. Rick Seltzer and Beckie Supiano wrote today’s Briefing. Get in touch: dailybriefing@chronicle.com.
📝 What’s in today’s Briefing? Was student penalized for writing about her religious beliefs? Auditor criticizes Eastern Gateway’s practices. More high-profile immigration actions. But first, new polling shows a stunning answer to a key question …
Is a college degree worth it?
Alarm bells for higher ed: A wide majority of Americans now think paying for a four-year degree isn’t worthwhile, found a new NBC News poll:
- Just a third said college is worth the cost, and 63 percent said it isn’t.
- That’s a 20-point erosion from 2013, when 53 percent of respondents said a degree was worth the cost and only 40 percent said it wasn’t.
- Declines cut across politics. Republicans cooled most: 55 percent said degrees were worth the cost in 2013, versus only 22 percent today. But the share of Democrats who said the same also fell sharply in that time, from 61 percent to 47 percent.
More alarm bells: Even those who earned degrees aren’t happy with the cost, according to a separate poll released by Politico:
- Only 39 percent of college graduates said it’s worth the money. An equal 39 percent said it costs too much.
- Nongraduates were more likely to pan college costs. Just 18 percent of nongraduates saw college as worth the money, compared to 46 percent who said it cost too much.
But wait, college offers a return on investment, as higher ed’s leaders love to argue. Earnings tend to rise and unemployment rates tend to fall with each increasing level of education — concerns about an artificial-intelligence revolution and the current weak job market notwithstanding.
And the prices most students actually pay haven’t spiked. After accounting for inflation and financial aid, net tuition and fees were flat or declining across the sector for years, at least before an uptick this fall, according to the College Board.
It’s the cost, stupid. That’s the overwhelming message from both surveys. Flat tuition and payoff down the line don’t equal affordability today. Respondents in the Politico poll were much more likely to say college costs too much than they were to say it doesn’t provide enough benefits.
The bigger picture: The new findings might seem to clash with polling that found public confidence in higher ed increasing earlier this year. But they fit into a picture of a public that’s broadly unhappy with the cost of living, and that wants college to be faster and cheaper. The Trump administration’s efforts to reshape higher ed polled poorly save for one … a tuition freeze.